Manmade warming hypothesis? But... what’s a hypothesis?
Posted on: Friday, November 20, 2015 Comments
It seems that nowadays, what passes for logic is the effort to associate one idea with another favored idea. Then the first idea is accepted as fact.
Obviously associating one idea with another is a propaganda/advertising device.
Apparently, schools are no longer interested in teaching students what a scientific hypothesis is.
So, let’s see: what is a hypothesis? First of all, a hypothesis is a provisional statement that remains to be confirmed through experiments.
Confirmation, means making a correct prediction - not just any prediction, but a useful one.
The real truth or falsity of a hypothesis is beside the point. Any hypothesis is acceptable, but only if we can deploy it to make a useful prediction.
For instance, take this hypothesis: The Earth has become warmer by X degrees over the past 1000 years.
Now, have scientists deployed this hypothesis to make accurate, specific, and useful predictions about warming? Well, so far, the answer is no. And that eliminates, for the time being, the acceptance of the warming hypothesis.
The truth is that many predictions have been made, many alarm bells have been rung, many crucial warnings have been issued, many threats have been launched…however, no correct and useful predictions whatsoever.
Another thing is that investigation also reveals humans have directly and significantly contributed to the recent warming trend.
At this point, we are leaving the method of hypothesizing and predicting, as well as moving to a question of fact, a debate about the accuracy of all those temperature measurements and the causes creating the observed changes.
Among scientists, there’s a huge disagreement regarding the accuracy of the measurements. And, any fair examination of studies and their critics will reveal that. So, evidently, the science is not settled - far from it.
So, useless as a hypothesis, the assertion of manmade warming, as fact, is wide open to debate - to say the least.
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